What Is a Currency Forward?
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is a US-based agency responsible for regulating the derivatives markets, including options, swaps, and futures contracts.
The Basics of Currency Forwards
Unlike other hedging mechanisms such as currency futures and options contracts—which require an upfront payment for margin requirements and premium payments, respectively—currency forwards typically do not require an upfront payment when used by large corporations and banks.
However, a currency forward has little flexibility. It represents a binding obligation, which means that the contract buyer or seller cannot walk away if the “locked-in” rate eventually becomes adverse. Therefore, to compensate for the risk of non-delivery or non-settlement, financial institutions that deal in currency forwards may require a deposit from retail investors or smaller firms with whom they do not have a business relationship.
Currency forward settlement can either be on a cash or a delivery basis, provided that the option is mutually acceptable and has been specified beforehand in the contract. Currency forwards are over-the-counter (OTC) instruments, as they do not trade on a centralized exchange and are also known as “outright forwards.”
An Example of a Currency Forward
The mechanism for computing a forward currency rate is straightforward and depends on interest rate differentials for the currency pair (assuming both currencies are freely traded on the forex market).
For example, assume a current spot rate for the Canadian dollar of US$1 = C$1.0500, a one-year interest rate for Canadian dollars of 3 percent, and a one-year interest rate for US dollars of 1.5 percent.
After one year, based on interest rate parity, US$1 plus interest at 1.5 percent would be equivalent to C$1.0500 plus interest at 3 percent, meaning:
- $1 (1 + 0.015) = C$1.0500 x (1 + 0.03)
- US$1.015 = C$1.0815, or US$1 = C$1.0655
The one-year forward rate in this instance is thus US$ = C$1.0655. The Canadian dollar has a higher interest rate than the US dollar; it trades at a forward discount to the greenback. The actual spot rate of the Canadian dollar one year from now does not correlate with the one-year forward rate at present.
The forward currency rate is merely based on interest rate differentials and does not incorporate investors’ expectations of the actual exchange rate in the future.
Currency Forwards and Hedging
How does a currency forward work as a hedging mechanism? Assume a Canadian export company is selling US$1 million worth of goods to a U.S. company and expects to receive the export proceeds a year from now. The exporter is concerned that the Canadian dollar may have strengthened from its current rate (of 1.0500) a year from now, which means that it would receive fewer Canadian dollars per US dollar. The Canadian exporter, therefore, enters into a forward contract to sell $1 million a year from now at the forward rate of US$1 = C$1.0655.
If a year from now, the spot rate is US$1 = C$1.0300—which means that the C$ has appreciated as the exporter had anticipated – by locking in the forward momentum, the exporter has benefited to the tune of C$35,500 (by selling the US$1 million at C$1.0655, rather than at the spot rate of C$1.0300). On the other hand, if the spot rate a year from now is C$1.0800 (i.e., the Canadian dollar weakened contrary to the exporter’s expectations), the exporter has a notional loss of C$14,500.
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